Listen now (22 mins) | What the latest research tells us
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| Early Black Friday, but smarter. An exclusive Exponential View offer for rigorous, hype-free AI insight. Limited seats, ends Monday, 24 November. Get 80% off for 1 year
 The AI industry is sending mixed signals – markets are turning red while teams report real productivity gains. Today, I examine the latest research to understand this split reality. (02:53) Unpacking three years of AI productivity data (09:54) The surprising group benefitting from AI (14:33) Anthropic’s alarming discovery (17:29) The counterintuitive truth about AI productivity
There is a lot of opinion in this space and not every hot take is built on reliable data. I stick to carefully executed research. To help you ground your stance, we’ve curated the studies behind this analysis and included the full talk transcript, available to Exponential View members. Sarkar, S. K. (2025). AI Agents, Productivity, and Higher-Order Thinking: Early Evidence From Software Development. → Senior developers gain the most because they know how to direct and evaluate AI, which drives the biggest productivity jumps...
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